Political and Economic Index – May 2016

In May 25% have trust in the government, while 64% declare mistrust. 16% evaluate parliament positively while 75% – negatively. 23% support the president, while 66% take the opposite view.

These are some of the findings from the regular independent external financing, “Gallup International” Political and Economic Index.

No significant reflections caused by political instability

In May 2016 25% of voters have trust in the government, 64% say they do not trust the government. 16% have trust in Parliament, whereas 75% have no trust in Parliament. 23% of respondents have trust in the President, and 66% do not have trust in the President.

What If elections were held now?

Almost 25% of respondents say they would vote for GERB (Citizens for European development of Bulgaria) if elections are held now (May 2016) and 12% for BSP (Bulgarian socialist party). Over 5% declare they would vote for DPS (Movement for rights and freedom), almost 5% for the parties in the RB (Reformers block). Little more than 4% would vote for the parties of the Patriotic front coalition. Nearly 3% is the potential electorate for Ataka (political party ‘Attack’). 3% of respondents declare support for ABV party. 3% say they would support a potential political party led by Slavi Trifonov.

The proportion between the two major parties remains in favour of GERB despite trust in government being low. Worth noting is the 3% willing to vote for a hypothetical party led by Slavi Trifonov. Such a hypothetical party has realistic chances of passing the 4% threshold into Parliament. The majority of supporters for Trifonov are among the youth. The following months will show which political groups will support Trifonov, however expected are people who do not vote or have voted differently during the years usually for a charismatic leader.

Tendencies in coalitions

Nearly half the respondents identify the Patriotic front as a whole political unity. Whereas, the two parties forming the PF (Patriotic front) show that the two parties forming the coalition share equal weight.A similar situation is found with the RB (Reformers block) where half the respondents identify the Reformers block as a unity with parties electorates being identifiable.


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