Gallup International Balkan cooperates with NOVA, BNT, BNR and Bulgaria On Air on the day of the parliamentary elections. Electoral profiles in two types of tables are published.
Table 1 – Structure of groups of voters according to parliamentary vote – the sums by horizontals equal 100%
Table 2 – Structure of the electorate of the main lists – the sums by verticals equal 100%.
Table 3 – Structure voters groups according to the presidential vote – the sums by horizontals equal do not give 100% due to the fact that not all participants are represented
Table 4 – Structure of the electorate of the main participants in the presidential elections – the sums by verticals give 100%
Everyone can have their own read of the data. We present quick information on the profile of two of the most interesting parties. For more information you may find the video materials from our partnering medias.
“We continue the change” stands out with more female voters and more voters of higher socio-economic status and higher educational level, respectively living in the bigger cities. It seems that in this aspect “We continue the change” fit in the niche of “Democratic Bulgaria”. The data shows that the people who voted for “Democratic Bulgaria” in July are now spread approximately in two halves among “Democratic Bulgaria” and “We continue the change”.
In fact, one fifth of the electorate of “We continue the change” derives from DB. The larger group is the part that is redirected from ITN – it is a total of one third of the vote for “We continue the change”. Votes also derive from a variety of points, and the fact that about one tenth of the vote for the “We continue the change” actually comes from BSP is really interesting. From the perspective of BSP this means that approximately 15% of yesterday voters, who voted for the BSP on July 11, preferred the new party instead of voting for BSP again.
What is the profile of “Vazrazhdane” voters? The party is represented in various socio-demographic groups, but it seems that one of the most fundamental parts of the vote for “Vazrazhdane” is of younger people, ie. typical of protest-oriented, more radical formations. Half of the vote for the party comes from people who voted for Vazrazhdane in the summer as well. The other half comes from a variety of places (which is typical for new formations), and among the largest shares are those of non-voters and BSP.
Who votes for Luna? In this vote there is probably also a kind of protest vote or a vote mocking the system. This is evident from the younger structure of the vote. At the same time and related to this, it seems that in the vote for Luna there is the most solid Roma share of votes compared to the other main candidates.
Table 1. Horizontal profile
Table 2. Vertical profile
Table 3. Horizontal profile
Table 4. Vertical profile